The embedding layer post tokenization is not just a probability machine the way you're suggesting it. You can argue that it is probabilistic with inferred sentiment, but too many people think it works like how text prediction on your phone does and that is just factually inaccurate.

Verify output of course, but saying "it doesn't understand anything" and "probability machine" is a borderline erroneous short sell. At the level of tokens it "understands" relationships, and those relationships are not probabilistic, though they are fundamentally approximated based on a training corpus.