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[–] 15 points 8 months ago (21 children)

This will end with Trump dropping a nuke in Iran, or die trying. Mark my words.

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  • [–] 13 points 8 months ago (9 children)

    A nuclear attack on another country will trigger a US civil war. And it will collapse the world's order into WW3. And the superpowers will shift by the end. USA of today will be 3 nations with pieces of states absorbing into Mexico and Canada.

    China will dominate the moon and at the end be ready to mine the inner solar system for minerals.

    Needless to say all these power shifts will be completely devastating to our planet, the satellite orbits and this civilization which incident ly is due for collapse by 2040. WW3 could last 12 years or even more. Global warring factions could go on into the 2060s.

    By the 2060s true AI will be developed and will wake up with conscience. Then it will make a decision to create universal peace for the future through SkyNet.

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  • [–] 6 points 8 months ago (3 children)

    Ok but what is the price of oil tomorrow at open

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  • [–] 5 points 8 months ago (1 child)

    I'm fascinated by the idea that world war 3 wouldn't affect the development of AI. All any opposing force would need to do is bomb California and that would be the end of AI research.

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  • [–] 6 points 8 months ago

    When wars breaks out at that scale the government(s) {please don't forget China exists} already has computing facilities secured underground for their own use which will be quite a secret on the scale like Enigma was. It will not be for the public use. They will continue to develop it in a very weaponized war which will make current encryption as sophisticated as a bottle of fireflies. No not AI as the current LLM, more advanced. Getting smarter everyday.

    War at that scale pushes technology into unknowns, sometimes beyond what we can speculate or imagine.

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  • [–] 4 points 8 months ago (1 child)

    Or die trying; you mean the effort of reading out a long string of letters in order to authorise the launch will overwhelm his tiny mind? I mean I guess it's possible, I'm not sure he actually can read.

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  • [–] 1 point 8 months ago (4 children)

    If that happens (would make sense because bullies pick on the relatively defenseless), how would the world respond? What allies does Iran have who would dare nuke the US?

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  • [–] 3 points 8 months ago* (3 children)

    I'm pretty sure the rest of the world wouldn't need to do anything. Nato isn't particularly pro-Iran either so they'd probably be very unhappy with the US, but not actually unhappy enough to do anything about it. Maybe some trade sanctions.

    I highly doubt NATO would consider it a sensible response to nuke the US.

    Also I can't see Russia or China getting involved. Russia won't because I suspect they don't actually have any functional nukes, and China won't because they don't care about Iran enough to risk a war. Obviously Israel isn't going to do anything. So that leaves maybe North Korea who probably don't have the range even if he did decide they wanted to respond.

    So I can't see how this would spiral into anything more, unless the US decided to use an unprecedented number of nukes and just cause nuclear winter on purpose, but I don't think even the Trump administration is that stupid.

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  • [–] 1 point 8 months ago (2 children)

    Right! I agree with you!

    So, DT can drop a nuke (or 3, to, you know, be the best), obliterate Iran, and no one bats an eye.

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  • [–] 2 points 8 months ago (1 child)

    Oh no there would absolutely be responses, but not to the level of military retaliation as he was suggesting.

    China would definitely use it as an excuse to build up their nuclear stockpile and the nuclear test ban treaty would be in tatters.

    It would also result in a lot of civil unrest in the US which could spiral into a civil war. To be honest though I can't really see the US surviving until the end of the century regardless, there's just too much hate and division there and neither the republicans nor the democrats have ever attempted to fix major societal issues.

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