What are you talking about? We know where the oppo came from, it was Schumer's office. You are relying entirely on the fact that you don't like Platner for your analysis, which is fine, but it's a terrible basis of analysis.
You can't confuse the way you want things to be with how they are if your going to be doing political analysis. I mean I suppose you can, and well, obviously plenty do it all the time. But their analysis is crap and doesn't predict outcomes.
Platners winning. By a lot. Every time the national party has tried to helicopter in and dislodge Collins, it's backfired. And that's exactly what Mills is. She didn't even want to run. She's running at Schumer's behest.