Exactly, they do believe it. It's not a vague feeling that is kind of funny but they actually still know logically it isn't true. For the person with apophenia, it is true. The gambler does believe in the pattern of the numbers and their luck is due to come. It is not a vague feeling, it is a belief that has overridden their contact with reality. It can be non pathological or sub clinical, as in, it doesn't affect their day to day life and causes no suffering to themselves or others. But they absolutely believe it and behave accordingly to said belief.
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