How much does he think an engineer spends on CAD tools, anyway? Altium is like, what, $2500 / year? Very "how much can a banana cost".

It's all capital costs for tools, pretty much, anyway, maybe CAD should start charging per net lmao.

Oh they are going to charge per token for github copilot? That thing is a money waste for everyone, I'm pretty sure. I get a mix of inane mildly good suggestions, irrelevant stuff, and an occasional suggestion of super evil sabotage. Due to mild OCD about issues, I tend to have to fix said mildly good suggestions, but from the objective perspective that nitpickery is not worth it, everything was fine without, we had compiler warnings, coverity, etc.

edit: the difference being that the old stuff was deterministic and you just ran it on the whole codebase and had it pass. Unlike gh copilot that'll just make up new shit. And as for the times it caught some bad bug that you made... add more tests instead.

I wouldn't be too surprised if they really don't, they're just advertising the advertising lol.

edit: Basically what if you spent a trillion dollars so that you could beam ads to people's bathroom mirrors. And better yet, ads reflected from water down in their toilets. Then in the interest of expediency you just take random ads and put them there for free, and your actual product, shares, sells better.

It makes every bad programmer into a 10x bad programmer (equivalent to 10 bad programmers).

It's kind of ridiculous on its face. Yudkowsky was never some guy making money off writing code or any other "nerdy" activity (even though people doing that can be as sociopathic as anyone else). Pre-HPMoR part of his career is just "does sociopathy for a living". After, too, but like with a bit of branching out into book writing.

Interesting he mentions that Kyle Hill guy, the only reason I know about him is shilling on behalf of nuclear grifters (example of nuclear grift: Oklo: a startup with no reactor designs, publicly traded with peak market cap of $25 billion and an origin story in a ponzi scheme).

I'm afraid they already had that exact idea when they named the startup "oklo".

I think it's not very difficult to construct a really shitty small reactor that is horrendously expensive per watt. Can probably be built in a year if you get rid of NRC and just half ass it completely.

I mean, Demon Core was a small reactor. You pretty much have to do a lot of work to ensure you won't create a small reactor when a truckload of fresh fuel falls into a river.

What's difficult is making a safe reactor that is actually making electricity at somewhat reasonable price per watt.

Nuclear already makes 9% of world's electricity.

Curiously enough you also have those radon spas in old uranium mines. I don't think hinging their luck on "a little radiation is good for you" worked for anyone.

I don't think getting rid of elections would work. Dictatorships do not rely on election rigging alone. That's just interventionist propaganda (barge in, set up elections, presto, democracy).

Competent dictators don't act anything like Trump. Once in power they try to obtain support of as wide of a section of the population as possible. There's no freedom of speech in a dictatorship; the dictator is giving prepared speeches, designed to bolster his support, to unify the nation, etc, not just having fun gloating at half the nation's expense.

If he actually tries to maintain power despite his relative unpopularity, the consequences will be utterly disastrous.

Shorting the market requires precise timing. Being early is just as bad as being wrong.

Exactly. It is not enough to know that a company stock will go down. It is necessary to know that it will never go higher than a certain point above the current value (not even momentarily) before it goes down. If you have a fuckload of other people's money you can just keep double-or-nothing-ing it, that's what banks were doing to gamestop, except that this can sometimes cause the stock to go even higher (a short squeeze), which would make you (who doesn't actually have a fuckload of other people's money) lose all of your money.

edit: also the other concerning possibility is that stock prices can go up simply due to the dollar going down.