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The ocean is getting less salty and this will change how the water flows which will change weather patterns and how plants grow. Evolution took billions of years to happen but humans wreak havoc expecting change within a decade or two. Yet we carry on wagging war as we always have. The book of history never closes no war ever ends. In the end it will be fascist fighting fascist fighting for the last bowl of gruel. I have never seen change. The war rages on. The USA military and the apparatus that supports it is the worlds greatest polluter. Justice will be served… It will be your children that will pay the price.
The post title that couldn't be more vague
And as it progresses, deniers will continue to point at mistakes in the predictions as some proof that it isn't happening, even as it occurs around them. They don't realize that the errors that will grow are because this is unprecedented in the geological history and so scientists are having to make best guesses rather than use the past for modeling. It's a whole new world...
God controls the climate. Duuuuh. When your crops fail your people starve that's just God giving you the middle finger.
Sounds like the pandemic times to me...
Edit: i mean the deniers. Their reaction to plain extraordinary things happening around them.
Thousands of years. Gotta love the young earth creationists... Lmao
Over the past year, books like Hunger Games have started to feel unsettlingly prescient. But perhaps we can skip that dystopia altogether and instead careen directly toward the Mad Max world.
But all the news is fascist billionaire PR now
Lots of things should be front page news but aren't. I think it's to keep people placid, they tend to get very angry when you try to show them there's nothing anyone can do now and we're not going to survive the century.
90% of earths topsoil is at risk of depletion by 2050
Global freshwater demand will exceed supply 40% by 2030
Global human population has surpassed Earth’s sustainable carrying capacity.
Global carbon emissions are still rising
The arctic sea ice extent is declining rapidly and we're likely headed into a Blue Ocean Event later this year, and potentially a double BOE depending on how the El Nino and summer in the southern hemisphere go.
The world is likely to exceed a key global warming target soon but the earths alebedo with the declining sea ice and lack of cloud cover will impact these numbers massively and isn't being predicted for, which means that 4.5c above the baseline by 2060 is now possible.
Ugh... put it in the headline. It's El Niño temperatures
I've been seeing this graph daily for a week, so... it already is?
the message is important, the graph is freaking horrible. "day of year" wtf axis is this???
You don't know what the day of the year is? The chart shows what the standard deviation from the normal temperature is for each day of the year, so all June 30ths show up in the same column for instance. It's worth noticing that the baseline that they are comparing to is probably already elevated because it starts well after green house gas emissions started because that is when we had the satellites to gather the data. So the 3+ standard deviations is probably under representing the temperature compared to the pre-hydrocarbon economy.
Just noting that the "baseline", I believe, is just the average temp for all recorded temps for that date, and the std. dev. Is likewise based on those recorded temps. They didn't just some nominal values that they're comparing to. The baseline changes with each new recorded temp. So, yes, they're definitely higher than pre-hydrocarbon economy.
The baseline stopped in 2020. "Standard deviations from the 1991-2020 mean" The standard deviation is of course dependant upon how many samples (30 per day)are in the data set. The only reason I qualified my statement is we don't have the actual historic data to say without qualification, and if you went back to the Jurassic or further, who knows with any certainty what to compare with (tectonics at some point mean that the area in question didn't exist). The data certainly is indicative that the baseline data would be significantly lower, but we cannot say that with the authority that we can for the data collected by satellites which is definitive and pretty much unassailable.
Yes, the graph is meant to compare the deviation from average (mean) on a given day every year. Each line is a different year, the independent axis is the day of the year (e.g. July 12th), and the dependent axis is the number of standard deviations from average temp for said date.
The expected temperature varies wildly depending on the day of the year which is why is makes sense to find the average and standard deviation for the same date year over year and compare the measured values to that statistic. If you are comparing different dates, say June 3rd to February 18th, what meaningful information do you gain by saying that June 3rd was hotter than the average between those two dates? But if this June 3rd was the hottest June 3rd on record by several standard deviations, that's notable.
Day of the year comparison is as close to apples to apples as you can get given the seasons. And it is much harder to compare year over year levels at a given date if they are graphed sequentially, especially for 44 years worth of data. So you overlay them aligning on date, set your average and deviations based on the measured temps for that date for all years, and you can see seasonal trends or outliers such as this one.



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