Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Idaho, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Mississippi, Nebraska, North Carolina, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, West Virginia, Wyoming.

We need 5 of those to flop to Democrat, without a single Democrat seat flopping.

Seats I think they maybe could able to win: Maine, North Carolina.

That would put Republicans at 51 seats + the VP That's assuming the Dems fill all the empty slots as well and keep the independents agreeing with them.