The last forecast from Nate Silver gave him a nearly 29% chance. That means if you spun up two parallel identican universes (well, almost identical), Clinton won in two and Trump won in one.

That would be odds I'd take for something like gambling, maybe, but like, I wouldn't gamble my life on those odds.

Granted, a lot of other places took for granted he wouldn't win, but you can find stuff like that everywhere - one of the things I find irritating is youtube channels hyping weather like hurricanes when it causes real damage to do so. Vaguely similar.

I think he ran just to keep his name in the public eye, just like his other Presidential runs. Rumor has it he was stunned to actually win.