I have been following the landwar in Ukraine very closely for years, russia has royally fucked the pooch, they have to negotiate lest their frontlines begin to truly collapse by next spring. They cannot apply artillery pressure to maintain their frontlines without unsustainably using their fighterbombers whereas Ukraine has multiple different survivable, affordable and effective land based artillery systems it is bringing to bear IN ADDITION to fighterbomber launched glidebombs.
Further Ukraine has demonstrated repeatedly that it has the ability to conduct armored combined arms assaults at the most intense parts of the frontline, on the otherhand russia has repeatedly and humiliating demonstrated it has no fucking clue how to.
The landwar is over for russia.
Not only that but russia's only theory of victory left is to commit acts of mass terrorism against Ukrainian civilians with saturation flying bomb/cruise missile attacks but the problem is as Ukraine's air defenses have become more and more effective the costs of russia's flying bombs have been forced to skyrocket to achieve the same impact (the media has been throwing russia a bone hard on this by only covering how the specifications of russian individual flying bombs keeps rising while pretending costs are magically not an issue for russia). Ukraine on the otherhand has dismantled russia's sophisticated air defenses letting them keep their flying bombs cheap on a per unit basis.
Jet powered flying bombs are also economically a dead end, they aren't useful for anything but murder, Ukraine has focused on much more economically viable kinds of drones and as a result Ukraine's economy is going to keep walking away from russia's as russia becomes a backwater middle of nowhere vaporwave series of brands for Chinese owned assets.