I’m not quite sure we’re talking about the same thing, but I’m also not quite sure we’re disagreeing. The pressure from the closure of the strait is for sure a major (although I’d argue that it’s perhaps not in-of-itself the majority) reason Trump balked at continuing the war. But at the same time, the strait was closed for months and for most of that time it had a negligible impact on Trump’s willingness to continue; so while it is a powerful means of pressuring the world economy, it’s not one that couldn’t be bypassed should Trump decide the temporary hardship of a closure during a true commitment of forces outweighs the cost to his ego (and all the other reasons he wants it restarted, but the man is damnably ego-driven).
I believe trump would like to continue the full scale war but can't because of the straight. So I believe the impact is real and not negligible like you believe .
Yes exactly, it’s an agreement between the US and Iran. That’s the problem with it - it binds Israel without Israel being a party, relying instead on trump’s winning personality and diplomatic skill to enforce the terms instead (you may be able to see why I am concerned).
You said that Israel signed the MOU which was false . Including Israel is a waste of time. USA as the provider of weapons and aid to Israel has full control of it
Yeah, exactly. Israel does this so often I suspect my cat is aware of the pattern - sign a “ceasefire”, use that time to regroup and prepare for the next stage. I assume that’s why they’ve been setting up the occupied Lebanese territory to be so easily recaptured and difficult to fortify for the LAF
I don't understand why your posed the question of why Israel signed the deal if you already knew the answer
And on top of that, when the Israel/Lebanon deal collapses the US agreement with Iran (theoretically) goes along with it. I don’t see any other reason they would have signed, especially since (as far as can tell) Trump has done nothing to pressure Israel into the deal. There’s no indication that Israel is planning to actually stop, and if they play it right they can drag the US back into the fight right along with them.
I don't think Iran signed the agreement expecting the U.S. to immediately halt Israeli operations.. I think what they expect is for Trump to show real will of imposing real restrictions on Israel. to pressure it to stop even if they fail which Trump is not doing right now. With the restrictions I truly expect Israel to be forced to leave Lebanon because Hezbollah attacks will be too costly in long term.