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[–] 9 points 5 months ago (7 children)

Can someone explain the two claims made in the title, in summary?

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  • [–] 10 points 5 months ago (6 children)

    The tech bros are dreaming that everybody will use cloud based AI for everything. And people will need tokens for that, so that'll become the new currency.

    But there aren't close to enough data centers to do that, or even enough under construction. They're having racks in tents powered by jet engines now because building date centers is expensive and slow. Much slower than they're hyping and certainly not enough to catch up with tech bro dreams.

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  • [–] 2 points 5 months ago (4 children)

    I wonder if it's just a matter of time though.

    Remember how computers used to be as big as a room and even then only stored 2mbs back when they were new? But then became more portable and accessible? It makes me wonder if, in a few decades, it'd be possible that happens with data centers in the future.

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  • [–] 6 points 5 months ago

    We can't do that though since we're already at the edge of the atomic (physical) silicon etching size limit. So no more steady increases in power, or decreases in size, unlike the last 30 years where we could do both. My hot take is that silicon chips as they are now defined are already at the end of the road.

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  • [–] 2 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (2 children)

    But in the same way we're now carrying a supercomputer in a pocket or purse. And they'll be a successor to LLM that's much more efficient. Most likely every laptop or phone puts those data centers to shame in a few decades.

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  • [–] 1 point 5 months ago (1 child)

    Wouldn't that still eventually allow for an era(s) of monetizing token usage for universal applications? Even if it gets better over time and continuously replaces itself over decades

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  • [–] 2 points 5 months ago

    Probably more for corporate use, digital autonomous companies and the like. If your home router is smart enough to do your taxes, you don't need much cloud computing. Although tech firms will try to get everything turned into a cloud subscription of course.

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