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[–] 47 points 5 months ago* (12 children)

Nah, the bubble will have popped by then. Honestly, most people will probably be using fewer resources because the post bubble recession could be severe.

When people finally realize that AI, robots, big space rockets, and self driving cars are not feasible and/or not enough to sustain our infinite growth economy, it's going to be kinda like realizing you forgot your parachute just after you jumped out of the plane.

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  • [–] 30 points 5 months ago (4 children)

    In the meantime, we're training an entire generation to not think.

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  • [–] 3 points 5 months ago*

    too late, studies already shown students do very horribly when they use AI for most of thier HS or COLLege Years. thier math and reading skills dropped sharply. Not to mention, it was already quite bad prior to AI. my bro who is in tech has relegate all his critical thinking into AI, he cant even think for himself without using it. like one time how to deal with Flies in the house.

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  • [–] 12 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (2 children)

    Remember how long Facebook worked on the Metaverse? And even changed their name to Meta because Zuckerberg was convinced he was on to something. Now many years and billions upon billions of dollars later the project is finally shelved as a total failure.

    Also remember Tesla/Musk has kept promising true FSD next year for a decade, and they are barely closer today than they were a decade ago. Yet they keep investing loads of money on it, and promising that very soon now, it will be available for all Tesla cars.

    Remember when Microsoft launched the Xbox, and stated they were ready to lose billions on it for 10 years if they had to. That one succeeded, but later when they tried the same with Smartphones and bought Nokia they didn't.

    You are clearly underestimating how many billions the trillion dollar companies are ready to lose on this. in the pursuit of coming out on top. That's how it is with AI too, the companies that spend the most on AI are companies that have loads and loads of money. And they can easily continue this shit for a decade without running out of money, and they will because they are determined and can afford it.

    The bubble may burst, but it will probably mostly affect all the small players, and maybe dent the stock prices of the big players a little. But don't count on it to be over in just a couple of years.

    Hopefully it will, but my guess is it won't. My guess is that none of the biggest players will relent for at least 5 years. But when the bubble burst, it could be even bigger than when the .com bubble did.

    We live in interesting times.

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  • [–] 8 points 5 months ago*

    Small and Free Local LLMs getting better may also drive the popping of the bubble. In fact some people use the Commercial Frontier AI Models for the simplest thing, and if there's one thing I learned AI uses the same resources for the simplest and hardest questions.

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  • [–] 1 point 5 months ago

    the first sign of the bubble popping is when all these tech conference stopped peddling AI, or they disappear from the regions where the AI startup conventions go to. im in the west coast, and AI conventions are here weekly, if not more than once a week, its solely AI, rather than other tech.

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