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[–] 1 point 7 months ago (1 child)

the difference is i doubt anyone will ever fly more than a few dozen trips in the rocket if that

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  • [–] 2 points 7 months ago

    For the sake of argument, let's use your numbers and say an average astronaut ends up taking a dozen flights on rockets designed to NASA's 1-in-270 "loss of crew" standard. If that probability holds, then we would expect 4.4% of all astronauts flying in modern rockets to be in a fatal accident during their 12-mission career.

    For comparison, lifetime driving fatality risk for American drivers is right around 1%.

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