The country is waiting to see if the government seizes on this moment to disarm the Iranian-backed armed group and how the militants will respond.

For much of the past year, Lebanon’s government has walked a tightrope in its dealings with the Iranian-backed armed group Hezbollah as it has moved to disarm the militants and curb their influence in Lebanese politics.

Now, as Lebanon faces a rapidly escalating conflict between Hezbollah and Israel, the country is waiting to see if the government seizes on this moment to take decisive action against Hezbollah — and how the group will respond.

. . .

“This is the tipping point,” said Sami Nader, the director of the Institute of Political Science at Saint Joseph University of Beirut. “Either we have the dark scenario where the army clashes with Hezbollah and there is civil strife, or Hezbollah abides by the government decision and they disarm.”

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[–] 5 points 8 months ago (1 child)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yahya_Sinwar

In the autumn of 2022, Hamas began planning a surprise attack on Israel. Sinwar sought to convince Iran and Hezbollah to participate in the attack or in a broader conflict with Israel,[52][53] aiming to cause its 'collapse'.[52] During one meeting, Sinwar acknowledged that such an attack would likely require sacrifices, probably referring to the people of Gaza.

Well. With Iran and Hezbollah now engaged, looks like Sinwar will ultimately achieve his broader conflict with involvement of Hezbollah and Iran. Just that now the US is directly involved.

I think that it is unlikely that the move will have been advantageous to Gazans.

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