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Accuracy is relative (media.piefed.world)
submitted 9 months ago by to c/memes@lemmy.world
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[–] 48 points 9 months ago (23 children)

Al Roker was the weatherman in New York City, and three years ago we had a blizzard. We were supposed to have, according to Al, 4 to 12 inches of snow. That's his prediction. We had 36 inches. Giving him the benefit of the doubt, he was two feet off. THAT'S NOT EVEN IN THE BALLPARK! If you were a roofer and you built a roof and it was two feet off, you'd still be in prison.

Lewis Black

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  • [–] 16 points 9 months ago (11 children)

    I’m pretty sure enough of these moments is why we now have absolutely catastrophic weather forecasts every other week but they usually aren’t so bad

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  • [–] 19 points 9 months ago (4 children)

    No, it's because Trump cut off access to data from weather satellites.

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  • [–] 5 points 9 months ago (3 children)

    It’s been like this for longer than Trump cut off access from one satellite

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  • [–] 3 points 9 months ago (2 children)

    Well we've just generally not been great at funding any science agency for quite a while.

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  • [–] 3 points 9 months ago (1 child)

    The European weather models have also been overstating severe weather

    I really just think it’s as I said and nobody wants to be caught under predicting weather so they default to the worst values their models predict

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  • [–] 2 points 9 months ago

    Similar to how the US started enforcing fines for late arrivals of airplanes. So the airlines just extended the “duration” of their flights to include the expected delays and now they’re “99.9% on time”. You can see this in action when the pilot says “well we’re waiting for something before we leave. It’ll be another 15 minutes but we’ll still get you there on time.”

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  • [–] 7 points 9 months ago (1 child)

    Climate change has increased the chance for extreme weather and made it harder to predict when it will actually happen. Those moments happened more when the models weren’t taking into account what climate change has done.

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  • [–] 1 point 9 months ago

    I’ve seen the climate shift before my eyes too but I mean the specific storm predictions but not hurricanes tracking which has actually become very accurate

    The local storm predictions I will watch update in real time and dramatically reduce all their numbers as it comes in that it wasn’t the worst case scenario

    It’ll be “accurate” when it finally is the worst case scenario so nobody will be underprepared but it annoys me that it’s constant specific forecasting doom until it isn’t

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  • [+] 4 points 9 months ago (2 children)
    [deleted]
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  • [–] 14 points 9 months ago (5 children)

    Monday: "It will rain on Saturday and Sunday." (Makes no outdoor plans for the weekend)

    Wednesday: "It might rain on Saturday, it will rain on Sunday." (Still no outdoor plans)

    Friday: "It will rain on Monday and Tuesday." (Too late to make outdoor plans)

    Doesn't rain for the entire month.

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  • [–] 13 points 9 months ago (4 children)

    Gotta rely on old people and their bum knees to predict the weather.

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  • [–] 5 points 9 months ago (2 children)

    Or you learn to smell it and feel it. But it's not good for distant weather and the earlier you feel it the worse it'll be. It's a common skill in places with stupid amounts of weather like the American Midwest.

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  • [–] 3 points 9 months ago (1 child)

    Note to self: never move to the American Midwest. I get sinus migraines from changes in barometric pressure, and can usually tell when a rainstorm is coming from the sinus pressure.

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  • [–] 3 points 9 months ago

    So I actually do too funnily enough. Comparing it to the pacific northwest, here I get a mild headache when it switches between wet times and dry times, but there I got a decent headache every few weeks in the spring and autumn and the occasional in the summer. I miss tornado season though, sure my head hurt, but the howl of the wind, the wall in the sky that looks like the world will end, then heavy rains that you sit in a garage with the door open smoking pot with your friends and watching. I don't miss much about Ohio, but tornado season was nice.

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