So find the places where the bitrate changes and decode and analyze those frames. Outdoors, true, leaves blow around, there is wildlife etc. A harder problem. I was thinking more of an indoor security camera. As for examining the bit rate, I guess it depends on the encoding, but e.g. in .mp4 there is a "key frame" every so often and then a bunch of delta frames, and if stuff is changing too fast iirc the key frames become more frequent. But I believe there is a fast way to scan for them, that is needed for fast forwarding in video.
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