GPU spot pricing on third-party compute marketplaces provides additional evidence. Vast.ai and RunPod.io, platforms where users rent GPU compute capacity by the hour, show H100 spot prices declining from $3.20 per hour in August 2025 to $2.12 per hour as of November 20, 2025. This 34% price decline directly contradicts claims of insatiable demand.
This is interesting… especially to someone interested in cheap rentals.
The cynical part of me figures a GPU “crash” would result in a lot of hardware liquidation (eg Nvidia repossessing GPUs and throwing them out) and not affect prices much. Heck, prices may get even worse with fewer providers bothering to host GPU instances… but maybe not?
I would love for a mega crash to send H100 prices underground, and knock down other GPUs in a cascade.