Yep. If he was competent, he would have declared the insurrection act in January, maybe early February after building up a casus belli

He could have ridden that momentum all the way through, by the time people got upset they'd be afraid

Now? It's too late. No one is buying it, no one has an appetite for it. He doesn't have the momentum to blow past the courts, no one in his administration has the conviction to put their balls on the table, and so we have this weak, performative version of a takeover that appeals to no one