A datacenter this size is an absurdity to begin with. Using Grok 5 ambitions, this would support training a 62t parameter model. 12-15x larger than what Anthropic currently can train. This means 12-15x slower (before considering that no western cluster can hold a model this size for inference, and slowdown is well over 100x) and 12-15x (100x here too) more expensive. So the concept is completely worthless to begin with.
Oracle's force majeure absolutely means the project is delayed (despite statements in article) because they are delaying payments because its delayed. Probably by 2 years, unless after mid terms, all of a sudden, permits get rush approved despite political candidate consensus against Oracle's BS.
If a 2 year delay, Oracle should cancel Nvidia GPU order. With 50% likely price increase path, it would be a $150B order that costs $30B in interest over 2 years at bad Oracle credit rating, and another $45B minimum depreciation over 2 years. This total is more than Oracle's book value. This cancellation would be enough to ease significantly rampocalypse, and reverse Nvidia price increases.
The shell SPV companies that own the datacenters are an absurd scam. $18B in losses from lenders are at stake if project gets cancelled, with smaller losses for delays. They were all stupid to lend the money at low interest rates, and all other future projects will have expensive financing, and be unfavourable. This end of stupid is end of uninvestable AI fraud bubble. Again, end of rampocalypse.
Oracle is already a joke of stupidity in its AI pursuit. This makes it imppossible for it to ever raise more money for more stupidity. And so one of the first hyperscaler nvidia clients to tap out, as the start of domino chain
Force majeure clauses, common in energy and commodities contracts, excuse a party from contractual obligations when events outside its control get in the way. Oracle is not seeking to exit as the campus’s main tenant, according to Bloomberg’s sources. Instead, the notice would allow the company to delay payments should the facility miss its 2028 target to come online.
... the notice follows a string of setbacks at the site, many of them tied to its energy supply. The campus, designed to handle 2.45 gigawatts, is meant to run on gas-powered fuel cells from Bloom Energy, which makes a reliable gas supply central to its timeline.
An Energy Transfer pipeline intended to deliver gas to the site has also been delayed nearly six months, to February 1, 2027, after regulators repeatedly denied permits for the line. In August, Bloomberg reported that the pipeline’s route had been changed following those rejections. A separate air-quality permit for the fuel cell system that would power the campus is also pending. The state’s environment department faces a November 23 deadline to decide.
Project Jupiter is one of the flagship sites of Stargate, the "AI" infrastructure initiative Oracle, [Closed Computing], and SoftBank announced with President Donald Trump early in his second term. The campus has drawn opposition from residents and environmental groups and has become a political flashpoint ahead of the midterm elections. Oracle has responded with a public outreach campaign in the state aimed at winning over the project’s critics, according to Bloomberg.
A datacenter this size is an absurdity to begin with. Using Grok 5 ambitions, this would support training a 62t parameter model. 12-15x larger than what Anthropic currently can train. This means 12-15x slower (before considering that no western cluster can hold a model this size for inference, and slowdown is well over 100x) and 12-15x (100x here too) more expensive. So the concept is completely worthless to begin with.
Oracle's force majeure absolutely means the project is delayed (despite statements in article) because they are delaying payments because its delayed. Probably by 2 years, unless after mid terms, all of a sudden, permits get rush approved despite political candidate consensus against Oracle's BS.
If a 2 year delay, Oracle should cancel Nvidia GPU order. With 50% likely price increase path, it would be a $150B order that costs $30B in interest over 2 years at bad Oracle credit rating, and another $45B minimum depreciation over 2 years. This total is more than Oracle's book value. This cancellation would be enough to ease significantly rampocalypse, and reverse Nvidia price increases.
The shell SPV companies that own the datacenters are an absurd scam. $18B in losses from lenders are at stake if project gets cancelled, with smaller losses for delays. They were all stupid to lend the money at low interest rates, and all other future projects will have expensive financing, and be unfavourable. This end of stupid is end of uninvestable AI fraud bubble. Again, end of rampocalypse.
Oracle is already a joke of stupidity in its AI pursuit. This makes it imppossible for it to ever raise more money for more stupidity. And so one of the first hyperscaler nvidia clients to tap out, as the start of domino chain.