Kiapara ki Maurangi; is now up for grabs. With Chris Penk not seeking re-election after the leadership debacle.

He held the seat for 9 years; and won in 2023 with an almost 20k majority.

I doubt that it will switch away from National with such a clear lead. We don't know who National will put up though.

There are two other high profile contenders:

• Opportunity deputy leader Daniel Eb.
• NZF's Jenny Marcroft, who has a seat from list position.