https://gs.statcounter.com/os-market-share/desktop/north-america/#monthly-200901-202607

https://radar.cloudflare.com/explorer?dataSet=http&groupBy=os&dt=28d&loc=north-america&filters=deviceType%253DDESKTOP

Cloudflare stats also seem to support peaks of 15% usage but around 9-10% on average.

The trendline suggests this is just the start.

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[–] 38 points 3 months ago (4 children)

Oh shit, is this it? Is this actually the year of the Linux desktop?

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  • [–] 17 points 3 months ago (3 children)

    I think so! It just took Windows shooting itself in the foot to do it.

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  • [–] 2 points 3 months ago

    Don't discount indirect thing like Sony announcing plans to abandon discs on the Playstation right as the Steam Machine launches with Linux and wide game compatibility via Proton. Even at its inflated price due to the Rampocalypse, it's selling out constantly. It's a perfect storm right now.

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  • [–] 20 points 3 months ago (2 children)

    This graphic: fuck BSD in particular

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  • [–] 8 points 3 months ago

    BSD has been a victim of many things including its own license. I don't intentionally run any systems with BSD currently. But it definitely doesn't get the love it should. Again part of that is down to the license lol. But there are plenty of appliances silently running it without people ever knowing.

    If it hadn't been for those lawsuits in the late 80s early 90s over the validity of the Berkeley software distribution even existing. Linux probably would have stayed a hobby project. And everyone would be running a flavor of BSD now. But between that, the gpl, and linux. They never really got the chance.

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  • [–] 12 points 3 months ago (3 children)

    In this context what is the difference between macOS and OS X? I can’t help but feel that is like listing Windows 10 separately.

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  • [–] 7 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (2 children)

    Speaking for myself, I suppose, I had a server running a much older version of Mac OS X (10.15) simply because I couldn’t update it beyond a certain point. Only recently did I finally install Fedora on it. Technically, I would be listed on this statistic as moving away from OS X to Linux. But such a huge market share for OS X vs macOS? That doesn’t make sense.

    That leads me to believe it’s a matter of web browser reporting, and some report macOS as either “macOS” or “Mac OS X” depending on the browser, but they really mean the same thing.

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  • [–] 4 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (1 child)

    I was kinda wondering if X was representative of 10.x releases but then it didn’t make sense to me for it to be so much higher than the newer OSs either.

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  • [–] 4 points 3 months ago*

    That’s what I thought at first, too, but i remembered that these statistics are typically gathered via browser machine id reporting, so…

    Safari probably reports as “macOS“ and I bet Firefox and chrome report as “Mac OS X“

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  • [–] 11 points 3 months ago

    I'm so excited now that I have time again to start tinkering with Linux ✌️

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  • [–] 9 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (1 child)

    The spike likely represents Statcounter being too slow to adjust their methods of filtering out bot page views after some brand new web scrapers appeared on the scene hoovering up all the data for AI training. 10% linux market share would be a cosmic event. You would hear about it in mainstream media if it were really happening.

    Edit: I forgot about popular youtube channel Linus Tech Tips' recent videos in which they gave linux their highest praise yet. One was published in mid June, another in mid July, and their most recent and most favorable to linux was published on July 22 ("My Experience Using the Steam Machine as a Desktop PC"). There have also been videos on the Framework laptops. Vibes tell me that there's a trend of more people using mobile over desktop, so I would expect a higher proportion of desktop users to be the gamer or technically inclined type, enough to be influenced by LTT and give linux a shot, compared to 10 years ago.

    Here's the data for the last 4 months.

       Date    Windows     OS X    Linux    Chrome OS    macOS
    2026-04      66.39    17.04     2.94         4.42     9.21
    2026-05      64.66    19.92     3.56         3.72     8.15
    2026-06      59.08    24.06     6.14         2.19     8.53
    2026-07      57.63    21.07    10.61         2.07     8.63
    

    The data looks noisy. You would expect the lines to have consistent, regular annual patterns. You can see that with Chrome OS which seems to have a dip in the middle of the year corresponding to when schools are out for summer vacation, and if you scan upward, it appears Windows has a corresponding hump at that time. But there are still unexplained extreme swings. The lines look smooth up until 2012/2013. Maybe Statcounter doesn't have as many members/page views as it once did, leading to higher variance. We could see that if we had absolute numbers, but we only have percentages. That's probably affected by the advent of the LLMs. Nobody's going to the web anymore to find information.

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  • [–] 1 point 3 months ago

    Announcing Linux growth wouldn't be in the best interest of US mainstream media's billionaire owners so it would go unreported. Can't increase Apple and Microsoft stocks if the word gets out people are freeing themselves. US journalism has effectively died.

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  • [–] 14 points 3 months ago (4 children)

    There's no way that's accurate, right?

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  • [–] 10 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (3 children)

    Quite likely. Many Linux distros aren't visible because they hide their telemetry, and would be marked as 'unknown' - or they spoof Windows or Mac for compatibility reasons. It'd be impossible to get an accurate read on how many computers run Linux, but it'll be higher than the number that report it.

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  • [–] 6 points 3 months ago (2 children)

    AFAIK they get their data through crowd-sourced browser header data. And I really doubt any significant number of people are manipulating that.

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  • [–] 3 points 3 months ago

    "Looking at browser headers" usually means they're parsing the User-Agent string, which all kind of people (and bots) spoof for all kinds of reasons. There even used to (and might still) be a Firefox extension that would generate random ones.

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  • [–] 13 points 3 months ago (1 child)

    IIRC this was debunked some time ago, it's related to a change in OSX/MacOS that's causing Apple devices to show up as Linux.

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  • [–] 5 points 3 months ago

    It may not look like a big deal but it wasn't too long ago Windows was like 95% of the OS market.

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  • [–] 4 points 3 months ago

    Next year, I'm telling you, it's going to be the year of the BSD desktop.

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  • [–] 4 points 3 months ago