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[–] 10 points 6 days ago (1 child)

The S&P 500 was up one year after all 11 midterms from 1982 through 2022, averaging a 13.7% gain. Returns were positive in 91% of cases across the 1980–2024 analysis of elections

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  • [–] 3 points 5 days ago

    I hate these sort of statistics, that pretend one singular factor is a predictor above all things. A whole lot of stuff is going on apart from the midterms that matter a lot more and is unlikeyl for the midterm results to meaningfully shift.

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