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Nate Silver Suggests ‘Momentous’ Midterms Might Mark ‘the End of the Trump Era’ (www.mediaite.com)
submitted 1 week ago by [B] to c/progressivepolitics@lemmy.world
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"People, understandably, are having trouble believing in the polls," Nate Silver acknowledged to New York Times columnist Ezra Klein.

The post Nate Silver Suggests ‘Momentous’ Midterms Might Mark ‘the End of the Trump Era’ first appeared on Mediaite.

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[–] 10 points 1 week ago (1 child)

dont forget election night 2016 when every one thought it was over then

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  • [–] 4 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

    Indeed. But many pollsters (like Nate) acknowledged this huge miscalculation in hindsight, and have tried to dissect that and predict with that in mind.

    In fact, the original source addresses this and discusses the topic extensively. It’s most of the interview:

    I think Democrats have the emotional feeling that when there’s a polling error, it is against them. Because Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden and just in general — polls actually have repeatedly underestimated Donald Trump. But is that true? And is it particularly true in midterms? Have polling errors been consistently against Democrats?

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