I used to believe in the butterfly effect, but I've started to subscribe more to the videogame effect; as in there are limited stable states for an entity based on past decisions and based on very limited degrees of freedom set by the environment.
Me rolling the dice slightly differently at the casino, might mean I win big or lose out, but either way the casino will make their money by roughing me up on the way out or laughing at me as I leave.
If meet a new partner in the winning timeline, and we go on to make kids, and then it turns out she doesn't like losers and we seperate and I settle for a more stable partner, I like to believe there's a high chance I might still meet that stable partner even on the losing timeline and even if I don't have kids.
The configuration might change, but the intertwining of people's world lines remains more or less fundamentally the same.