100% real.
All reCAPTCHAs are converting to Google Fraud Defence automatically.
reCAPTCHA is adding new challenge types including Mobile Device challenge through the reCAPTCHA app, which only runs on iOS and Google Play Services on certified Android (Not Graphene, Lineage, mobile Linux).
They're also adding camera video challenges, so you have to prove you're a human by showing your face and doing hand gestures on demand. And they're adding features to require biometric verification.
Plus, reCAPTCHA is now fully integrated into Google Analytics (funny how that works), so you can "reach the right audiences".
So we've gone from "prove your not a bot" to "prove who you are, link your browser to your phone, and show us your face and then we'll let you see our 15 million websites".

reCAPTCHA will continue to be the core bot defense pillar of the broader Fraud Defense platform. Existing reCAPTCHA customers are automatically Fraud Defense customers, with no migration required, no action needed, and no change to pricing. Your existing site keys and integrations remain exactly as they are today.