I hope you're wrong because it seems true so far. There is a thread on HN about it: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47278426
I have partially been fired because of AI. I was working with juniors and scientists, and helped them fix their shitty code. They denied it all the way but it was generated by ChatGPT and Cursor.
As of today, I've been unemployed for more than 3 months which is unprecedented for me. The worst I ever had before was being unemployed for 24 hours. Friends of mine are in the same situation. I would have gone freelance earlier if I knew and had the guts to do it.
Most job offers are either fake, or very specific. Anyway, all the jobs around me are Java/Spring or FullStack, everything else disappeared in the past 2 years. And when a job offer is posted, you have 200+ applicants whatever the subject is, even in a medium town that cannot have so many developers.
As for the friends who still have a job, they are in denial about it. They don't read forums like HN or Lemmy, and they don't update their skills. I hope they keep those jobs forever.
My conclusion is that programming is dead, and I would happily do something else for a living while coding Pascal on a 386 as a hobby because fuck that fucking shit.