If anyone has the time to find the referenced papers, please post them here.
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Ah... so 40% is a terrifying number. That is a lot of dead people.
One of the commonalities that sticks out in the Fall of Civilizations podcast is the collapse of food production.
What a nightmare.
Human population is expected to be 10 billion at end of century. Famine at that scale always leads to more trouble than just starvation.
I hope the new solent green has more billionaire in it.
I would be extremely surprised if human civilization as we know it survives until the end of the century.
You think the rich know and that's why they're trying to come trying to control us more recently?
You should never confuse rich people with good planners. The ultra wealthy exists because they're greedy to the point of stupidity. Rapaciousness. They want more right now no matter the consequences. They can, will, and are grasping for as much as they can to the point it'll exterminate our species.
Dont worry guys. We will be fine. Its those people that will have to stop eating. Doesnt concern us.
That would be no problem, if we would reduce the meat and dairy consumption drastically. We could live with even less productivity, if vegetable based diet would be the norm.
I have a bad feeling that the temperature will continue to rise, and food production continues to decline. Even if we can survive the first few steps, the next ones will be even harder. Chances are, poor people will simply starve to death, while rich people will continue to enjoy their meat and chocolate.
No. Conflict over who gets the last of the meat and chocolate will do them in too. Why do you think Russia wants Ukraine so bad? Why is everyone gearing up militarily?
This is why.
That shouldn't be a problem in the US as people eat way WAY too much and throw away even more
Have people start taking more care with their food
Indeed, it's to be expected, that the climatic regions best-suited to such agriculture will move, generally polewards. So there may be potentially new 'breadbaskets' - but mainly in Russia and Canada, if growing season starts earlier. But 40% of whea and maize, is not 40% of food - there are other (new) crops, and we could also adapt diets, maybe we don't need so much wheat and maize (leading anyway to obesity?). In the tropics it all depends on water management, need to store more.
. So there may be potentially new 'breadbaskets' - but mainly in Russia and Canada, if growing season starts earlier.
Not in Canada at least. As Professor Richard Alley explained on a YT lecture some years ago, the last ice age glaciers took lots of the soil from Canada and deposited it in the US, its why parts of tue US are a breadbasket.
You can not replace the vast agsriultral areas of the.US with the Tundra of Canada. I have no idea about Russia but one hypothesis for Putin's invasion of Ukraine was to sercure agricultural land for Russia.. Ukraine has some of the most fertile soils on the planet.
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