I have yet to see much evidence that indicates that I won’t be needed indefinitely.
I've seen models going from pissing shitty 10-liners that didn't compile to reworking entire projects halfway convincingly in only a few short years. I see no reason why they won't get good enough to do that well enough to render your senior software architect ass obsolete in a few more.
"Today’s AI is the worst you’ll ever use" is correct. You might get some respite for a few more years when the AI bubble bursts and we go back to doing shit ourselves for a while. But the technology isn't going away. And bad luck for us, it's almost perfectly suited to replace software engineers, of all jobs.
If you haven't seen this, you've been living under a massive rock. It's clear as day.
lot of questionable fear mongering going around
Well, I will say this: all I'm saying is that OUR jobs as WE know them are gone. They either don't exist anymore, or they're on the verge of disappearing. What I'm emphatically NOT saying is that it's wrong: it's progress I guess. We're just the latest round of professionals whose profession has been rendered obsolete by technology.
I do worry that so many professions are in the crosshairs that it'll basically break society though, because the changes are so radical and so quick.
a very clear possibility of a talent shortage if we keep going on this trajectory.
It's not a possibility, it's a certainty. And it won't matter: again, I'm 100% convinced the machines will do a better job than you or me very soon.