Also this one a bit:
Assumption #6: Trans people should wait until after these Democratic candidates are elected before putting pressure on them to change their positions
Are you fucking kidding me? That is not how politics works at all.
Imagine for a moment that Talarico or Turek or some other Democrat conceded a different (non-trans-related) issue to their Republican opponent. For instance, what if they said that, if elected to the Senate, they would vote for a nation-wide ban on mifepristone. Would you expect women and other pro-choice voters to “keep quiet” until after the election before speaking out against that position? Of course you wouldn’t!
If that doesn’t persuade you, just think for a moment about a political issue that is most important to you personally. Do you have it in mind? Now imagine how you would react if a Democratic Senate candidate conceded that issue to Republicans. Wouldn’t you immediately and loudly protest their position change? To let the candidate know that they made the wrong decision, in the hope that they might eventually reverse course?
Or how about this: Imagine that Republicans were specifically set on revoking your rights: Your access to healthcare, public restrooms, driver’s licenses and passports, and so forth. If their Democratic Senate opponent sided with them, would you simply keep quiet and patiently wait for some imaginary future timepoint when (according to people on the internet who don’t actually give a shit about you) you can “properly” express your concerns?
If people told you to keep quiet when your rights were on the chopping block, wouldn’t that sound condescending if not downright cruel to you?