The third and last week stays in the Alps – that we already reached on Sunday, except for the last day which suddenly 'jumps' to Paris.


Standings after week 2

General Classification:

Unless he undergoes an accident, the race is already won for the Slovenian rider. The battle for podium is however still open, after the unfortunate withdrawal of Vingegaard🇩🇰. The top-10 didn't change much, but it 'stretched', and Pidcock and Jegat entered it.

  1. Tadej Pogatchar 🇸🇮 UAE
  2. Remco Evenepoel 🇧🇪 Bora: +5′00″
  3. Isaac Del Toro 🇲🇽 UAE +5′58″
  4. Paul Seixas 🇫🇷 Decathlon: +6′23″
  5. Florian Lipowitz 🇩🇪 Bora: +6′48″
  6. Juan Ayuso 🇪🇸 Lidl-Trek: +7′28″
  7. Mattias Skjelmose 🇩🇰 Lidl-Trek: +9′38″
  8. Lenny Martinez 🇫🇷 Bahrain: +10′28″
  9. Thomas Pidcock 🇬🇧 Q36.5: +11′19″
  10. Jordan Jegat 🇫🇷 Total : +19′12″

5 other riders follow close to Jegat, at less than 25 minutes, and can thus hope to enter top-10: Voisard🇨🇭, Carapaz🇪🇨, Van Wilder🇧🇪, A. Yates🇬🇧, and Piganzoli🇮🇹 (Visma) who will have to make up for Vingegaard's withdrawal. The rest is farther than 40 minutes.

Points classification (Green jersey):

Merlier🇧🇪, who was in 4^th^ position, couldn't finish the race in time on Sunday and withdrew. Philipsen did the best 2^nd^ week.

  1. Mads Pedersen 🇩🇰 Lidl-Trek: 417 pts (+149)
  2. jasper Philipsen 🇧🇪 Alpecin: 191 (+195)
  3. Biniam Girmay 🇪🇷 NSN: 361 (+138)
  4. Max Kanter 🇩🇪 Astana: 271 (+99)
  5. Olav Kooij 🇳🇱 Decathlon 210 (+100)

Mountain (Polka Dots jersey)

Those who try to fight for points cannot seem to be able to beat Pogatchar who doesn't, and other GC guys aren't far either. Martinez didn't go for points this week, and Baudin disappeared.

  1. Tadej Pogatchar 🇸🇮 UAE: 67 pts (+39)
  2. Valentin Paret-Peintre 🇫🇷 Soudal-QS: 45 (+33)
  3. Richard Carapaz 🇪🇨 EF: 39 (+38)
  4. Paul Seixas 🇫🇷 Decathlon: 34 (+22)
  5. Remco Evenepoel 🇧🇪 Bora: 31 (+26)
  6. Isaac Del Toro 🇲🇽 UAE: 30 (+20)

Stages

Stage 16, Tuesday 21

26 km, D+ 500 m, Individual Time Trial

This ITT presents an unusual profile, with an horrible 4,5% strongly uphill false-flat right from the start which lasts for 10 km (!), then a steeper descent and only finally a flat section.

Press to see the map


Stage 17, Wednesday 22

175 km D+ 2400 m

This stage will probably be disputed between a breakaway which could leave in the small/medium climbs of the first 60 km, and sprinter teams. Perhaps Pedersen will attempt to go into the breakaway.

Press to see the map and the finish profile


Stage 18, Thursday 23

186 km, D+ 3900 m

Many climbs, long and short, but never too steep. There is a finish on top, but it might still be good for breakaways if GC guys wait for the 2 harder stages which follow.

NB: the way the profile is drawn makes it look almost flat, but there is almost 4000 m of total elevation to climb, it is really a medium mountain stage.

Press to see the map


Stage 19, Friday 24

128 km, D+ 3600 m

The first Alpe d'Huez stage presents climbs in the beginning and in the end, with smaller and smoother hills in the centre part. It is short. A breakaway might succeed if Pogatchar doesn't want the stage (who else would ride for it after the withdrawals of Vingegaard and Lipowitz?).

Press to see the map and the profiles of Noyer Pass and Alpe d'Huez.


Stage 20, Saturday 25

171 km, D+ 5600 m

Another finish at the Alpe d'Huez after 3 Hors-Catégorie climbs for the main and last mountain stage. As the stage also starts from the bottom of the Alpe d'Huez, I fear about the crowd being too important, as it will also be compacted on this reduced version of the climb, and those risks come on top of the race staying 2 days in the same place and this stage being on a week-end.


Stage 21 (final), Sunday 26

133 km, D+ 1600 m

Last year's experiment is renewed: 4 laps of Champs-Élysées only (7 km) and then 3 longer (16 km) laps including the climb to Montmartre and its somewhat scary downhill. The finish is located a bit farther from the last top: 11 km instead of 6, which may cause more regrouping and favour punchers a little bit less.

Special regulations: if the streets are deemed slippery, times shall be taken on the 1^st^ crossing of the finish line, or any later crossing of the line. Riders must complete the full distance in any case. Only one car per team is allowed on the circuits.

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[–] [S] 2 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (3 children)

Stage 19, Friday 24

128 km, D+ 3600 m

The first Alpe d'Huez stage presents climbs in the beginning and in the end, with smaller and smoother hills in the centre part. It is short. A breakaway might succeed if Pogatchar doesn't want the stage (who else would ride for it after the withdrawals of Vingegaard and Lipowitz?).

Standings before the first Alpe d'Huez stage:

General classification

  1. Tadej Pogatchar 🇸🇮 UAE
  2. Remco Evenepoel 🇧🇪 Bora: +4′32″
  3. Isaac Del Toro 🇲🇽 UAE +6′51″
  4. Paul Seixas 🇫🇷 Decathlon: +7′11″
  5. Juan Ayuso 🇪🇸 Lidl-Trek: +9′22″
  6. Mattias Skjelmose 🇩🇰 Lidl-Trek: +10′14″
  7. Lenny Martinez 🇫🇷 Bahrain: +12′50″
  8. Thomas Pidcock 🇬🇧 Q36.5: +12′58″
  9. Jordan Jegat 🇫🇷 Total : +14′04″
  10. Richard Carapaz 🇪🇨 EF: +21′00″

Points classification (Green jersey):

  1. Mads Pedersen 🇩🇰 Lidl-Trek: 477 pts (+60)
  2. jasper Philipsen 🇧🇪 Alpecin: 445 (+54)
  3. Biniam Girmay 🇪🇷 NSN: 361 (0)
  4. Max Kanter 🇩🇪 Astana: 271 (0)
  5. Olav Kooij 🇳🇱 Decathlon 230 (+20)

Mountain (Polka Dots jersey)

  1. Tadej Pogatchar 🇸🇮 UAE: 70 pts (+3)
  2. Valentin Paret-Peintre 🇫🇷 Soudal-QS: 69 (+24)
  3. Richard Carapaz 🇪🇨 EF: 63 (+24)
  4. Remco Evenepoel 🇧🇪 Bora: 36 (+5)
  5. Paul Seixas 🇫🇷 Decathlon: 34 (0)
  6. Isaac Del Toro 🇲🇽 UAE: 30 (0)

In the last mountain stage on Saturday (stage #20), they will be as many points to grab (70) as the Mountain classification leader possesses presently after 18 stages 🙄

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  • [–] 2 points 3 months ago

    I have 3 points I need to express:

    1. Absolute masterclass by Pogi today. Nothing anyone can do but just watch in awe. One can only wonder what that race would have looked like if Jonas and Lipo were still around contending for GC.
    2. Looks like Lenny Martinez is public enemy #1 amongst cycling fans today. Everyone is blaming him for not helping enough on the breakaway, causing Carapaz to use up all his energy and ultimately letting Pogi catch them. Personally, I don't care much about that and think it was entertaining and dramatic either way. Seeing Carapaz look back and Tadej is just methodically pedaling closer and closer made me think of the Terminator films. Either way, hats off to the EF team for another fantastic stage.
    3. I definitely have a love/hate relationship with the crowds in this stage. The atmosphere is great and it creates a real sense of drama watching it unfold, but its so dangerous and unnecessary for everyone to be waving flags in the cyclists faces, stepping in the way to get on camera, tripping over themselves to try and slap the riders on the back. These people get swept up in themselves (along with alcohol) and just have no idea how much risk they are putting their favorite riders in. Not to mention that Remco was trying to attack but got caught behind a traffic jam because there was no room for him to move on either side. Then we have Rubio getting a DNF because the UAE car needed to slam on its breaks to avoid running over someone who had stepped into the course in front of it. That was brutal.

    And that's not even including all of the little close calls that occurred (I saw one guy try to cross in front between a rider and a motorcycle with maybe a 5 meter gap between them. Motorcycle had to swerve a bit; lots of hand gestures ensued.

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  • [–] 2 points 3 months ago*

    Apparently Pog has never won on d'Huez. So I don't see how anyone else wins the stage given he'll be hungry for this. A breakaway with like 10 minutes at the base of the Alpe is probably the only way someone else wins it. UAE being weakened right now, and the potential need to make Del Toro a full domestique, makes this slightly interesting.

    Edit: I'll be rooting for Kuss to get in the break. Somebody like him has a real chance if the break is allowed to get a big gap.

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  • [–] [S] 1 point 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

    A confirmation of previous tendencies:

    • Seixas (🇫🇷 Decathlon) gets a tiny bit weaker every day. Too bad he never pushed his advantage when he was a bit stronger than several of his opponents. That's AG2R's tradition 🙂
    • Ayuso (🇪🇸 Lidl-Trek) gets weaker much, much faster. According to stage results, after his breakaway, Q. Simmons🇺🇸 had to babysit him up the final climb, once gain.
    • Conversely, Evenepoel (🇧🇪 Bora) and Del Toro (🇲🇽 UAE) appear slightly better now.
    • L. Martinez (🇫🇷 Bahrain) is a pain in the ass and he fails to understand that riding like he does may be fine when he and the other guy(s) with hum detached from the rest of the riders because they were the strongest in the race; but it is absolutely not fine, when you are a breakaway of weaker climbers than the GC leader(s) coming fast behind you. Even more so when you also play a GC position.
    • Carapaz (🇪🇨 EF) is damn, strong in this 3^rd^ week. Same as last year's 3^rd^ week when he was on fire. And, again, he isn't afraid of playing with others' nerves once he has already secured a victory. Another confirmation is that he cannot outsprint V. Paret-Peintre (🇫🇷 Soudal-QS) but he lasts longer.

    Non-Pogatchar GC leaders only climbed faster than Carapaz🇪🇨/Martinez🇫🇷 by about 1 minute, in a 14 km climb! And it's not like those two climbed in an optimal way...


    L. Martinez🇫🇷 takes over both Lidl-Trek riders in GC (not only the declining Ayuso🇪🇸 but also Skjelmose🇩🇰 for a handful of seconds). In a way, it is thanks to the Lidl-Trek riders in the breakaway; however Lidl-Trek pulling the breakaway a bit unnecessarily may have been the result of a deal between Lidl-Trek/Pedersen🇩🇰 and EF/Carapaz🇪🇨. I previously noted that Pedersen🇩🇰 could ride for others in recognition of another team/rider's attitude.

    Jegat (🇫🇷 Total) blew up early, and loses a position in GC to Carapaz🇪🇨 and his good finish.

    Carapaz🇪🇨 will wear the Polka Dots jersey tomorrow. For real, but only 1 point ahead of Pogatchar🇸🇮. Vingegaard🇩🇰 then V. Paret-Peintre🇫🇷 wore it for many days (since after stage #6 (Tourmalet)), but Pogatchar🇸🇮 was the actual leader of the classification. Carapaz🇪🇨 was losing only 2 points to V. Paret-Peintre🇫🇷 each time the latter was passing a summit just in front of him, and scored points for 1^st^ and 3^rd^ places in the last two climbs.


    Only 2 stages are left to avoid the very rare humiliation of a Tour de France without a French victory (only occurrences: 1999 after the Festina case, and 1926 the longest Tour with 1,500 miles more than the current edition and Belgians all over).

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