You've clearly have never dealt with real world logistics in your life

Starting with the snark? Sure I tried to make my comment respectfully but whatever.

You're not wrong, but the US could certainly throw a lot more into it. Then it, as I said, will come down to drones. That's a function of time and deployment speed before the bombs hit. Currently I think the US has the raw numbers of munitions to overwhelm the country, but day by day that changes.

Plus it's not like any of us has the up to date figures from each country. I personally thinkk dismissing either possible outcome is just really stupid. I've tried not to make it sound like my speculation was fact, but what I believe was the most likely outcome.

You only have to look at a map to realize that Iran is a very mountainous country that would be a nightmare to fight in.

Yes I'm well aware. This why I specifically said they could overwhelm the government. I do believe just due to raw numbers of munitions and equipment that the US currently could take out the centralized government (think more bombs and less boots), but as I said control would be a long bloody occupation that would never succeed. Just like Afghanistan just way more bloody.

I think you're also dismissing US logistical capabilities in that part of the world. They spent 20 years setting up client states, Israel will give them all the access they need, and the majority of Europe is complicit allowing American bases to continue to operate within their borders.

But then again who really knows. I can't outright dismiss your claim, and it would.be silly to do so. I think it's more likely that the US could do it, but I can't garuntee it. As I said each day the US doesn't commit to a large scale invasion it increases Iran's odds tremendously. Iran does need to build up enough drones. I don't believe they have enough yet. They're definetly working on it.

I don't disagree with you in drones tech either. I think it just comes down to numbers and continued capabilities to launch the drones.